Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.113241 0.121465 0.130065 0.139741 0.150343 0.161628 0.174570
2025-10-19 0.096501 0.108294 0.121349 0.136944 0.155155 0.175859 0.201334
2025-10-26 0.085908 0.099786 0.115843 0.135948 0.160664 0.190340 0.229097
2025-11-02 0.077713 0.092753 0.110773 0.134213 0.164275 0.202063 0.254011
2025-11-09 0.070297 0.085738 0.104769 0.130303 0.164219 0.208528 0.272180
2025-11-16 0.064816 0.080551 0.100425 0.127831 0.165390 0.216207 0.292229
2025-11-23 0.060315 0.076200 0.096702 0.125671 0.166507 0.223548 0.312150
2025-11-30 0.057671 0.074034 0.095603 0.126823 0.172086 0.237384 0.342800
2025-12-07 0.053742 0.069861 0.091465 0.123338 0.170603 0.240596 0.357237
2025-12-14 0.049669 0.065241 0.086402 0.118126 0.166076 0.238685 0.363046
2025-12-21 0.047132 0.062598 0.083929 0.116463 0.166664 0.244560 0.382084
2025-12-28 0.045879 0.061674 0.083814 0.118231 0.172572 0.259236 0.417611
2026-01-04 0.044498 0.060539 0.083390 0.119595 0.178105 0.274075 0.455850
2026-01-11 0.042648 0.058636 0.081735 0.118960 0.180383 0.283717 0.485966
2026-01-18 0.041032 0.056990 0.080365 0.118663 0.183161 0.294439 0.519541
2026-01-25 0.039293 0.055070 0.078467 0.117371 0.184117 0.301950 0.547700
2026-02-01 0.037213 0.052537 0.075490 0.114120 0.181413 0.302495 0.561551
2026-02-08 0.035557 0.050578 0.073308 0.112045 0.180599 0.306435 0.583041
2026-02-15 0.034075 0.048819 0.071352 0.110221 0.180073 0.310822 0.606021
2026-02-22 0.033310 0.048136 0.071065 0.111198 0.184684 0.325567 0.654381
2026-03-01 0.031758 0.046155 0.068592 0.108245 0.181758 0.324970 0.666804
2026-03-08 0.029993 0.043772 0.065372 0.103821 0.175768 0.317632 0.662071
2026-03-15 0.028935 0.042483 0.063896 0.102408 0.175446 0.322004 0.686820